Deep learning for detecting and early predicting chronic obstructive pulmonary disease from spirogram time series.

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Tác giả: Shan Cao, Shengyong Chen, Shijia Geng, Shenda Hong, Xin Li, Shuhao Mei, Yuxuan Wan, Junqing Xie, Jiahao Xu, Yong Zhang, Qinghao Zhao, Yuxi Zhou

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 519.55 Time-series analysis

Thông tin xuất bản: England : NPJ systems biology and applications , 2025

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: NCBI

ID: 142715

 Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) is a chronic lung condition characterized by airflow obstruction. Current diagnostic methods primarily rely on identifying prominent features in spirometry (Volume-Flow time series) to detect COPD, but they are not adept at predicting future COPD risk based on subtle data patterns. In this study, we introduce a novel deep learning-based approach, DeepSpiro, aimed at the early prediction of future COPD risk. DeepSpiro consists of four key components: SpiroSmoother for stabilizing the Volume-Flow curve, SpiroEncoder for capturing volume variability-pattern through key patches of varying lengths, SpiroExplainer for integrating heterogeneous data and explaining predictions through volume attention, and SpiroPredictor for predicting the disease risk of undiagnosed high-risk patients based on key patch concavity, with prediction horizons of 1-5 years, or even longer. Evaluated on the UK Biobank dataset, DeepSpiro achieved an AUC of 0.8328 for COPD detection and demonstrated strong predictive performance for future COPD risk (p-value <
  0.001). In summary, DeepSpiro can effectively predict the long-term progression of COPD disease.
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