Assessing the effect of advertising expenditures upon sales: a Bayesian structural time series model

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Tác giả: Pablo Angulo, Víctor Gallego, David Gómez-Ullate, Pablo Suárez-García

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 659.1 Advertising

Thông tin xuất bản: 2018

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Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 161741

Comment: Published at Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/asmb.2460We propose a robust implementation of the Nerlove--Arrow model using a Bayesian structural time series model to explain the relationship between advertising expenditures of a country-wide fast-food franchise network with its weekly sales. Thanks to the flexibility and modularity of the model, it is well suited to generalization to other markets or situations. Its Bayesian nature facilitates incorporating \emph{a priori} information (the manager's views), which can be updated with relevant data. This aspect of the model will be used to present a strategy of budget scheduling across time and channels.
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