Microfoundations of Discounting

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Tác giả: Alexander T. I Adamou, Yonatan Berman, Diomides P Mavroyiannis, Ole B Peters

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 200.19 Psychological principles

Thông tin xuất bản: 2019

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: Báo, Tạp chí

ID: 163434

An important question in economics is how people choose between different payments in the future. The classical normative model predicts that a decision maker discounts a later payment relative to an earlier one by an exponential function of the time between them. Descriptive models use non-exponential functions to fit observed behavioral phenomena, such as preference reversal. Here we propose a model of discounting, consistent with standard axioms of choice, in which decision makers maximize the growth rate of their wealth. Four specifications of the model produce four forms of discounting -- no discounting, exponential, hyperbolic, and a hybrid of exponential and hyperbolic -- two of which predict preference reversal. Our model requires no assumption of behavioral bias or payment risk.
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