Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Non-Stationary Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models

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Tác giả: Matteo Barigozzi, Matteo Luciani

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 511.4 Approximations formerly also 513.24 and expansions

Thông tin xuất bản: 2019

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Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 163513

This paper considers estimation of large dynamic factor models with common and idiosyncratic trends by means of the Expectation Maximization algorithm, implemented jointly with the Kalman smoother. We show that, as the cross-sectional dimension $n$ and the sample size $T$ diverge to infinity, the common component for a given unit estimated at a given point in time is $\min(\sqrt n,\sqrt T)$-consistent. The case of local levels and/or local linear trends trends is also considered. By means of a MonteCarlo simulation exercise, we compare our approach with estimators based on principal component analysis.
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