Unlucky Number 13? Manipulating Evidence Subject to Snooping

• Tác giả: Uwe Hassler, Marc-Oliver Pohle
• Ngôn ngữ: eng
• Ký hiệu phân loại: 323.448 Right to privacy
• Thông tin xuất bản: 2020
• Bộ sưu tập: Báo, Tạp chí
• ID: 165140

Tóm tắt

Questionable research practices like HARKing or p-hacking have generated considerable recent interest throughout and beyond the scientific community. We subsume such practices involving secret data snooping that influences subsequent statistical inference under the term MESSing (manipulating evidence subject to snooping) and discuss, illustrate and quantify the possibly dramatic effects of several forms of MESSing using an empirical and a simple theoretical example. The empirical example uses numbers from the most popular German lottery, which seem to suggest that 13 is an unlucky number.