Overnight GARCH-It\^o Volatility Models

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Tác giả: Donggyu Kim, Minseok Shin, Yazhen Wang

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 003.76 Stochastic systems

Thông tin xuất bản: 2021

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 166386

Various parametric volatility models for financial data have been developed to incorporate high-frequency realized volatilities and better capture market dynamics. However, because high-frequency trading data are not available during the close-to-open period, the volatility models often ignore volatility information over the close-to-open period and thus may suffer from loss of important information relevant to market dynamics. In this paper, to account for whole-day market dynamics, we propose an overnight volatility model based on It\^o diffusions to accommodate two different instantaneous volatility processes for the open-to-close and close-to-open periods. We develop a weighted least squares method to estimate model parameters for two different periods and investigate its asymptotic properties. We conduct a simulation study to check the finite sample performance of the proposed model and method. Finally, we apply the proposed approaches to real trading data.
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