Testing for threshold effects in the TARMA framework

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Tác giả: Kung-Sik Chan, Simone Giannerini, Greta Goracci, Howell Tong

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 155.2844 Individual psychology

Thông tin xuất bản: 2021

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 166605

We present supremum Lagrange Multiplier tests to compare a linear ARMA specification against its threshold ARMA extension. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the test statistics both under the null hypothesis and contiguous local alternatives. Moreover, we prove the consistency of the tests. The Monte Carlo study shows that the tests enjoy good finite-sample properties, are robust against model mis-specification and their performance is not affected if the order of the model is unknown. The tests present a low computational burden and do not suffer from some of the drawbacks that affect the quasi-likelihood ratio setting. Lastly, we apply our tests to a time series of standardized tree-ring growth indexes and this can lead to new research in climate studies.
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