Adaptive Estimation and Uniform Confidence Bands for Nonparametric Structural Functions and Elasticities

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Tác giả: Xiaohong Chen, Timothy Christensen, Sid Kankanala

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 003.75 Nonlinear systems

Thông tin xuất bản: 2021

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 167485

Comment: The data-driven choice of sieve dimension in this paper is based on and supersedes Section 3 of the preprint arXiv:1508.03365v1We introduce two data-driven procedures for optimal estimation and inference in nonparametric models using instrumental variables. The first is a data-driven choice of sieve dimension for a popular class of sieve two-stage least squares estimators. When implemented with this choice, estimators of both the structural function $h_0$ and its derivatives (such as elasticities) converge at the fastest possible (i.e., minimax) rates in sup-norm. The second is for constructing uniform confidence bands (UCBs) for $h_0$ and its derivatives. Our UCBs guarantee coverage over a generic class of data-generating processes and contract at the minimax rate, possibly up to a logarithmic factor. As such, our UCBs are asymptotically more efficient than UCBs based on the usual approach of undersmoothing. As an application, we estimate the elasticity of the intensive margin of firm exports in a monopolistic competition model of international trade. Simulations illustrate the good performance of our procedures in empirically calibrated designs. Our results provide evidence against common parameterizations of the distribution of unobserved firm heterogeneity.
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