Stochastic volatility model with range-based correction and leverage

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Tác giả: Yuta Kurose

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 003.76 Stochastic systems

Thông tin xuất bản: 2021

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 167925

This study presents contemporaneous modeling of asset return and price range within the framework of stochastic volatility with leverage. A new representation of the probability density function for the price range is provided, and its accurate sampling algorithm is developed. A Bayesian estimation using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is provided for the model parameters and unobserved variables. MCMC samples can be generated rigorously, despite the estimation procedure requiring sampling from a density function with the sum of an infinite series. The empirical results obtained using data from the U.S. market indices are consistent with the stylized facts in the financial market, such as the existence of the leverage effect. In addition, to explore the model's predictive ability, a model comparison based on the volatility forecast performance is conducted.
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