Identifying the Effects of Sanctions on the Iranian Economy using Newspaper Coverage

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Tác giả: Dario Laudati, M. Hashem Pesaran

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 016.955 Bibliographies and catalogs of works on specific subjects or in specific disciplines

Thông tin xuất bản: 2021

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 168037

This paper considers how sanctions affected the Iranian economy using a novel measure of sanctions intensity based on daily newspaper coverage. It finds sanctions to have significant effects on exchange rates, inflation, and output growth, with the Iranian rial over-reacting to sanctions, followed up with a rise in inflation and a fall in output. In absence of sanctions, Iran's average annual growth could have been around 4-5 per cent, as compared to the 3 per cent realized. Sanctions are also found to have adverse effects on employment, labor force participation, secondary and high-school education, with such effects amplified for females.
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