Rethinking the Role of Teams and Training in Geopolitical Forecasting: The Effect of Uncontrolled Method Variance on Statistical Conclusions.

• Tác giả: Michael R Dougherty, Clifford E Hauenstein, David A Illingworth, Rick P Thomas
• Ngôn ngữ: eng
• Ký hiệu phân loại: 633.14 *Rye
• Thông tin xuất bản: United States : Psychological science , 2025
• Bộ sưu tập: NCBI
• ID: 188617

Tóm tắt

Using data from a geopolitical forecasting tournament, Mellers et al. (2014) [Psychological strategies for winning a geopolitical forecasting tournament.