Novel CT Image-Based Intracerebral Bleeding Risk Score for Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke Undergoing Thrombolysis.

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Tác giả: Gareth Ambler, Guangliang Chen, Jianhua Chen, Jie Chen, Ronghua Chen, Hou-Wei Du, Shuangfang Fang, Genshan Gao, Xiuyan Han, Huapin Huang, Hanhan Lei, Hangfeng Li, Huiying Lin, Nan Liu, Jin Wei, David J Werring, Xiaomin Wu, Qinli Zhang

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 297.1248 Sources of Islam

Thông tin xuất bản: England : Journal of the American Heart Association , 2025

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: NCBI

ID: 194000

BACKGROUND: Symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) after intravenous recombinant tissue plasminogen activator in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) remains a feared yet unpredictable complication. We aimed to develop and validate a new predictive model incorporating clinical variables and noncontrast head computed tomography imaging features to predict sICH in patients with AIS receiving intravenous recombinant tissue plasminogen activator. METHODS AND RESULTS: The predictive model was derived from 808 patients with AIS in the derivation cohort in Southeast China, based on multivariable logistic regression analysis. External validation was conducted in a validation cohort from Central China. Discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness of the predictive model were assessed. We observed 32 sICH events among 808 patients with AIS in the derivation cohort, and 21 sICH events out of 612 participants in the validation cohort. The variables in the predictive model included cerebral small vessel disease burden and early infarct signs on head computed tomography scan, atrial fibrillation, age, systolic blood pressure, and initial National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score. The fitted model showed promising discrimination (optimism-corrected C statistic of 0.80) and acceptable calibration (Hosmer and Lemeshow goodness of fit CONCLUSIONS: Our internally and externally validated prediction model for sICH in patients with AIS who received intravenous thrombolysis may facilitate individualized prediction for intracerebral bleeding risk after intravenous thrombolysis for acute ischemic stroke.
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