The Power of Tests for Detecting $p$-Hacking

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Tác giả: Graham Elliott, Nikolay Kudrin, Kaspar Wüthrich

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 005.8 Data security

Thông tin xuất bản: 2022

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 195163

$p$-Hacking undermines the validity of empirical studies. A flourishing empirical literature investigates the prevalence of $p$-hacking based on the distribution of $p$-values across studies. Interpreting results in this literature requires a careful understanding of the power of methods for detecting $p$-hacking. We theoretically study the implications of likely forms of $p$-hacking on the distribution of $p$-values to understand the power of tests for detecting it. Power depends crucially on the $p$-hacking strategy and the distribution of true effects. Publication bias can enhance the power for testing the joint null of no $p$-hacking and no publication bias.Comment: Some parts of this paper are based on material in earlier versions of our arXiv working paper "Detecting p-hacking" (arXiv:1906.06711), which were not included in the final published version (Elliott et al., 2022, Econometrica)
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