Good-Bye Original Sin, Hello Risk On-Off, Financial Fragility, and Crises?

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Tác giả: Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak, Donghyun Park, Huanhuan Zheng

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 368.3 *Old-age insurance and insurance against death, illness, injury

Thông tin xuất bản: 2022

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: Báo, Tạp chí

ID: 195459

 We analyze the sovereign bond issuance data of eight major emerging markets (EMs) - Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia, South Africa and Turkey from 1970 to 2018. Our analysis suggests that (i) EM local currency bonds tend to be smaller in size, shorter in maturity, or lower in coupon rate than foreign currency bonds
  (ii) EMs are more likely to issue local-currency sovereign bonds if their currencies appreciated before the global financial crisis of 2008 (GFC)
  (iii) inflation-targeting monetary policy increases the likelihood of issuing local-currency debt before GFC but not after
  and (iv) EMs that offer higher sovereign yields are more likely to issue local-currency bonds after GFC. Future data will allow us to test and identify structural changes associated with the COVID-19 pandemic and its aftermath.
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