Probabilistic Scenario-Based Assessment of National Food Security Risks with Application to Egypt and Ethiopia

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Tác giả: Phoebe Koundouri, Georgios I Papayiannis, Achilleas Vassilopoulos, Athanasios N Yannacopoulos

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 962 Egypt and Sudan

Thông tin xuất bản: 2023

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 200100

Comment: 39 pages, 13 figuresThis study presents a novel approach to assessing food security risks at the national level, employing a probabilistic scenario-based framework that integrates both Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP). This innovative method allows each scenario, encompassing socio-economic and climate factors, to be treated as a model capable of generating diverse trajectories. This approach offers a more dynamic understanding of food security risks under varying future conditions. The paper details the methodologies employed, showcasing their applicability through a focused analysis of food security challenges in Egypt and Ethiopia, and underscores the importance of considering a spectrum of socio-economic and climatic factors in national food security assessments.
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