Nowcasting economic activity in European regions using a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model

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Tác giả: Luca Barbaglia, Lorenzo Frattarolo, Niko Hauzenberger, Dominik Hirschbuehl, Florian Huber, Luca Onorante, Luca Tiozzo Pezzoli, Michael Pfarrhofer

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 339.4 Factors affecting income and wealth

Thông tin xuất bản: 2024

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 201321

 Comment: JEL: C22, C53, R11
  keywords: factor models, mixed-frequency, nowcasting, regional dataTimely information about the state of regional economies can be essential for planning, implementing and evaluating locally targeted economic policies. However, European regional accounts for output are published at an annual frequency and with a two-year delay. To obtain robust and more timely measures in a computationally efficient manner, we propose a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model that accounts for national information to produce high-frequency estimates of the regional gross value added (GVA). We show that our model produces reliable nowcasts of GVA in 162 regions across 12 European countries.
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