Distilling interpretable causal trees from causal forests

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Tác giả: Patrick Rehill

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 634.94 Orchards, fruits, forestry

Thông tin xuất bản: 2024

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Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 203632

 Comment: 17 pages, 5 figuresMachine learning methods for estimating treatment effect heterogeneity promise greater flexibility than existing methods that test a few pre-specified hypotheses. However, one problem these methods can have is that it can be challenging to extract insights from complicated machine learning models. A high-dimensional distribution of conditional average treatment effects may give accurate, individual-level estimates, but it can be hard to understand the underlying patterns
  hard to know what the implications of the analysis are. This paper proposes the Distilled Causal Tree, a method for distilling a single, interpretable causal tree from a causal forest. This compares well to existing methods of extracting a single tree, particularly in noisy data or high-dimensional data where there are many correlated features. Here it even outperforms the base causal forest in most simulations. Its estimates are doubly robust and asymptotically normal just as those of the causal forest are.
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