Deep Learning for Multi-Country GDP Prediction: A Study of Model Performance and Data Impact

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Tác giả: Xun Qian, Huaqing Xie, Xingcheng Xu, Fangjia Yan, Yanqing Yang

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 339.4 Factors affecting income and wealth

Thông tin xuất bản: 2024

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 203974

Comment: 13 pages, 9 tablesGDP is a vital measure of a country's economic health, reflecting the total value of goods and services produced. Forecasting GDP growth is essential for economic planning, as it helps governments, businesses, and investors anticipate trends, make informed decisions, and promote stability and growth. While most previous works focus on the prediction of the GDP growth rate for a single country or by machine learning methods, in this paper we give a comprehensive study on the GDP growth forecasting in the multi-country scenario by deep learning algorithms. For the prediction of the GDP growth where only GDP growth values are used, linear regression is generally better than deep learning algorithms. However, for the regression and the prediction of the GDP growth with selected economic indicators, deep learning algorithms could be superior to linear regression. We also investigate the influence of the novel data -- the light intensity data on the prediction of the GDP growth, and numerical experiments indicate that they do not necessarily improve the prediction performance. Code is provided at https://github.com/Sariel2018/Multi-Country-GDP-Prediction.git.
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