Old and New Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting

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Tác giả: Tommy Bengtsson, Nico Keilman

Ngôn ngữ: eng

ISBN-13: 978-3030050757

Ký hiệu phân loại:

Thông tin xuất bản: Cham : Springer Nature, 2019

Mô tả vật lý: 1 electronic resource (349 p.)

Bộ sưu tập: Tài liệu truy cập mở

ID: 223072

This open access book describes methods of mortality forecasting and discusses possible improvements. It contains a selection of previously unpublished and published papers, which together provide a state-of-the-art overview of statistical approaches as well as behavioural and biological perspectives. The different parts of the book provide discussions of current practice, probabilistic forecasting, the linearity in the increase of life expectancy, causes of death, and the role of cohort factors. The key question in the book is whether it is possible to project future mortality accurately, and if so, what is the best approach. This makes the book a valuable read to demographers, pension planners, actuaries, and all those interested and/or working in modelling and forecasting mortality.
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