Rationalizing dynamic choices

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Tác giả: Henrique de Oliveira, Rohit Lamba

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 128.33 Reason and rationality

Thông tin xuất bản: 2025

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Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 227024

An analyst observes an agent take a sequence of actions. The analyst does not have access to the agent's information and ponders whether the observed actions could be justified through a rational Bayesian model with a known utility function. We show that the observed actions cannot be justified if and only if there is a single deviation argument that leaves the agent better off, regardless of the information. The result is then extended to allow for distributions over possible action sequences. Four applications are presented: monotonicity of rationalization with risk aversion, a potential rejection of the Bayesian model with observable data, feasible outcomes in dynamic information design, and partial identification of preferences without assumptions on information.
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