Chapter Random effects regression trees for the analysis of INVALSI data

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Tác giả: ANNA GOTTARD, Leonardo Grilli, Carla Rampichini, GIULIA VANNUCCI

Ngôn ngữ: eng

ISBN-13: 978-8855183048

ISBN: 9788855183048.07

Ký hiệu phân loại: 314 General statistics of Europe

Thông tin xuất bản: Florence : Firenze University Press, 2021

Mô tả vật lý: 1 electronic resource (6 p.)

Bộ sưu tập: Tài liệu truy cập mở

ID: 242306

 Mixed or multilevel models exploit random effects to deal with hierarchical data, where statistical units are clustered in groups and cannot be assumed as independent. Sometimes, the assumption of linear dependence of a response on a set of explanatory variables is not plausible, and model specification becomes a challenging task. Regression trees can be helpful to capture non-linear effects of the predictors. This method was extended to clustered data by modelling the fixed effects with a decision tree while accounting for the random effects with a linear mixed model in a separate step (Hajjem & Larocque, 2011
  Sela & Simonoff, 2012). Random effect regression trees are shown to be less sensitive to parametric assumptions and provide improved predictive power compared to linear models with random effects and regression trees without random effects. We propose a new random effect model, called Tree embedded linear mixed model, where the regression function is piecewise-linear, consisting in the sum of a tree component and a linear component. This model can deal with both non-linear and interaction effects and cluster mean dependencies. The proposal is the mixed effect version of the semi-linear regression trees (Vannucci, 2019
  Vannucci & Gottard, 2019). Model fitting is obtained by an iterative two-stage estimation procedure, where both the fixed and the random effects are jointly estimated. The proposed model allows a decomposition of the effect of a given predictor within and between clusters. We will show via a simulation study and an application to INVALSI data that these extensions improve the predictive performance of the model in the presence of quasi-linear relationships, avoiding overfitting, and facilitating interpretability.
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