Tác động của các yếu tố vĩ mô đến hiệu quả thị trường chứng khoán Việt Nam=The impact of macroeconomics factors on Vietnamese stock market performance

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Tác giả: An Phú Nguyễn

Ngôn ngữ: vie

Ký hiệu phân loại:

Thông tin xuất bản: Nghiên cứu Tài chính Kế toán, 2024

Mô tả vật lý: tr.27-31

Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 246514

Thêm vào giỏ

The Vietnamese stock market has become a prominent participant in the global financial landscape, demonstrating substantial expansion and attracting increasing interest from investors worldwide. Establishing a comprehensive understanding of the intricacies and fluctuations of this sector is crucial for both local and global investors aiming to capitalize on its inherent possibilities. This study utilizes statistical analysis methods, specifically the Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR), to examine the complex connections between several macroeconomic variables and the performance of the stock market in Vietnam. Through this sophisticated regression technique, our objective is to offer a comprehensive understanding of the impact of macroeconomic variables, including export, inflation, exchange rate, and industrial manufacturing performance, on the fluctuations of the stock market in Vietnam. Our research not only adds to the current knowledge on the Vietnamese stock market but also provides vital insights for policymakers, investors, and researchers dealing with this ever-changing financial environment.Thị trường chứng khoán Việt Nam đã trở thành một bên tham gia nổi bật trong bối cảnh tài chính toàn cầu, thể hiện sự mở rộng đáng kể và thu hút sự quan tâm ngày càng tăng từ các nhà đầu tư trên toàn thế giới. Việc thiết lập sự hiểu biết toàn diện về sự phức tạp và biến động của lĩnh vực này là rất quan trọng đối với cả các nhà đầu tư trong nước và toàn cầu nhằm mục đích tận dụng các khả năng vốn có của nó. Nghiên cứu này sử dụng các phương pháp phân tích thống kê, cụ thể là Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR), để kiểm tra các mối liên hệ phức tạp giữa một số biến kinh tế vĩ mô và hiệu suất của thị trường chứng khoán tại Việt Nam. Thông qua kỹ thuật hồi quy tinh vi này, mục tiêu của chúng tôi là cung cấp sự hiểu biết toàn diện về tác động của các biến kinh tế vĩ mô, bao gồm xuất khẩu, lạm phát, tỷ giá hối đoái và hiệu suất sản xuất công nghiệp, đối với các biến động của thị trường chứng khoán tại Việt Nam. Nghiên cứu của chúng tôi không chỉ bổ sung vào kiến thức hiện tại về thị trường chứng khoán Việt Nam mà còn cung cấp những hiểu biết quan trọng cho các nhà hoạch định chính sách, nhà đầu tư và nhà nghiên cứu đang giải quyết môi trường tài chính luôn thay đổi này.

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