OBJECTIVE: In individuals without radiographic knee osteoarthritis (OA), we investigated whether magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-defined knee OA at baseline was associated with incident radiographic and symptomatic disease during up to 11 years of follow-up. METHODS: Osteoarthritis Initiative participants without tibiofemoral radiographic knee OA at baseline were assessed for MRI-based tibiofemoral cartilage damage, osteophyte presence, bone marrow lesions, and meniscal damage/extrusion. We defined MRI knee OA using alternative, reported definitions (Def A and Def B). Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) grade, joint space narrowing (JSN), and frequent knee symptoms (Sx) were assessed at baseline, 1-, 2-, 3-, 4-, 6-, 8-, and 10/11-year follow-up visits. Incident tibiofemoral radiographic knee OA (outcome) was defined as (1) KL ≥2, (2) KL ≥2 and JSN, or (3) KL ≥2 and Sx. Adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression models examined associations of baseline MRI-defined knee OA (Def A and Def B) with incident outcomes during up to 11 years of follow-up. RESULTS: Among 1,621 participants (mean ± SD age 58.8 ± 9.0 years, mean ± SD body mass index 27.2 ± 4.5 kg/m CONCLUSION: Current MRI definitions of knee OA do not adequately identify knees that will develop radiographic and symptomatic disease.