Optimization under Uncertainty of Site-Specific Turbine Configurations [electronic resource] : Preprint

• Ngôn ngữ: eng
• Ký hiệu phân loại: 621.47 Solar-energy engineering
• Thông tin xuất bản: Washington, D.C. : Oak Ridge, Tenn. : United States. Dept. of Energy. Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy ; Distributed by the Office of Scientific and Technical Information, U.S. Dept. of Energy, 2016
• Mô tả vật lý: Size: 2.2 MB : , digital, PDF file.
• Bộ sưu tập: Metadata
• ID: 257398
• Chủ đề: 1. 17 wind energy; 2. 29 energy planning, policy, and economy; 3. Decision support; 4. Optimization; 5. Uncertainty

Tóm tắt

Uncertainty affects many aspects of wind energy plant performance and cost. In this study, we explore opportunities for site-specific turbine configuration optimization that accounts for uncertainty in the wind resource. As a demonstration, a simple empirical model for wind plant cost of energy is used in an optimization under uncertainty to examine how different risk appetites affect the optimal selection of a turbine configuration for sites of different wind resource profiles. If there is unusually high uncertainty in the site wind resource, the optimal turbine configuration diverges from the deterministic case and a generally more conservative design is obtained with increasing risk aversion on the part of the designer.