Wind Power Forecasting Error Distributions [electronic resource] : An International Comparison; Preprint

• Ngôn ngữ: eng
• Ký hiệu phân loại: 333.9 Other natural resources
• Thông tin xuất bản: Golden, Colo. : Oak Ridge, Tenn. : National Renewable Energy Laboratory (U.S.) ; Distributed by the Office of Scientific and Technical Information, U.S. Dept. of Energy, 2012
• Mô tả vật lý: Size: 9 pp. : , digital, PDF file.
• Bộ sưu tập: Metadata
• ID: 259070
• Chủ đề: 1. 17 wind energy; 2. 24 power transmission and distribution; 3. Distribution; 4. Electricity; 5. Forecasting

Tóm tắt

Wind power forecasting is expected to be an important enabler for greater penetration of wind power into electricity systems. Because no wind forecasting system is perfect, a thorough understanding of the errors that do occur can be critical to system operation functions, such as the setting of operating reserve levels. This paper provides an international comparison of the distribution of wind power forecasting errors from operational systems, based on real forecast data. The paper concludes with an assessment of similarities and differences between the errors observed in different locations.