Enhanced Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting and Value to Grid Operations [electronic resource] : Preprint

• Ngôn ngữ: eng
• Ký hiệu phân loại: 621.45 Wind engines
• Thông tin xuất bản: Washington, D.C. : Oak Ridge, Tenn. : United States. Dept. of Energy. Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy ; Distributed by the Office of Scientific and Technical Information, U.S. Dept. of Energy, 2012
• Mô tả vật lý: Size: 871 KB : , digital, PDF file.
• Bộ sưu tập: Metadata
• ID: 259079
• Chủ đề: 1. 17 wind energy; 2. Economic value; 3. Forecasts; 4. Measurements; 5. Numerical weather prediction

Tóm tắt

 The current state of the art of wind power forecasting in the 0- to 6-hour time frame has levels of uncertainty that are adding increased costs and risk on the U.S. electrical grid. It is widely recognized within the electrical grid community that improvements to these forecasts could greatly reduce the costs and risks associated with integrating higher penetrations of wind energy. The U.S.Department of Energy has sponsored a research campaign in partnership with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and private industry to foster improvements in wind power forecasting. The research campaign involves a three-pronged approach: 1) a 1-year field measurement campaign within two regions
  2) enhancement of NOAA's experimental 3-km High-Resolution Rapid Refresh(HRRR) model by assimilating the data from the field campaign
  and 3) evaluation of the economic and reliability benefits of improved forecasts to grid operators. This paper and presentation provides an overview of the regions selected, instrumentation deployed, data quality and control, assimilation of data into HRRR, and preliminary results of HRRR performance analysis.