Model-based evaluation of school- and non-school-related measures to control the COVID-19 pandemic [electronic resource]

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Tác giả:

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 614.5 Incidence of and public measures to prevent specific diseases and kinds of diseases

Thông tin xuất bản: Los Alamos, N.M. : Oak Ridge, Tenn. : Los Alamos National Laboratory ; Distributed by the Office of Scientific and Technical Information, U.S. Dept. of Energy, 2021

Mô tả vật lý: Size: Article No. 1614 : , digital, PDF file.

Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 259724

 The role of school-based contacts in the epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 is incompletely understood. We use an age-structured transmission model fitted to age-specific seroprevalence and hospital admission data to assess the effects of school-based measures at different time points during the COVID-19 pandemic in the Netherlands. Our analyses suggest that the impact of measures reducing school-based contacts depends on the remaining opportunities to reduce non-school-based contacts. If opportunities to reduce the effective reproduction number (R<
 sub>
 e<
 /sub>
 ) with non-school-based measures are exhausted or undesired and R<
 sub>
 e<
 /sub>
  is still close to 1, the additional benefit of school-based measures may be considerable, particularly among older school children. As two examples, we demonstrate that keeping schools closed after the summer holidays in 2020, in the absence of other measures, would not have prevented the second pandemic wave in autumn 2020 but closing schools in November 2020 could have reduced R<
 sub>
 e<
 /sub>
  below 1, with unchanged non-school-based contacts.
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