Comparing Approaches to Project COVID-19 Effects on Poverty

• Tác giả: Nobuo Yoshida
• Ngôn ngữ: eng
• Ký hiệu phân loại: 362.57 Measures to prevent, protect against, limit effects of poverty
• Thông tin xuất bản: World Bank, Washington, DC, 2020
• Bộ sưu tập: Tài liệu truy cập mở
• ID: 290726
• Chủ đề: 1. CORONAVIRUS; 2. COVID-19; 3. PANDEMIC IMPACT; 4. POVERTY AND EQUITY; 5. POVERTY REDUCTION

Tóm tắt

Different studies use different approaches to forecast how many people will fall into poverty due to the outbreak of Coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19), with largely different results. Even when using the same growth forecasts and poverty lines, poverty projections differ largely by approaches: one projects poverty to increase by around 400 million individuals, while another estimates as few as 49 million individuals will fall into poverty. This note compares approaches and how their specific methodological details lead to different estimates of poverty effects from the COVID-19 pandemic.