An Alternative Framework for Foreign Exchange Risk Management of Sovereign Debt

• Tác giả: Martin Melecky
• Ngôn ngữ: eng
• Ký hiệu phân loại: 658.1 Organization and finance
• Thông tin xuất bản: World Bank, Washington, DC, 2012
• Bộ sưu tập: Tài liệu truy cập mở
• ID: 293742
• Chủ đề: 1. BALANCE SHEET; 2. BALANCE SHEETS; 3. BANK POLICY; 4. BENCHMARK; 5. BILATERAL EXCHANGE RATE

Tóm tắt

This paper proposes a measure of synchronization in the movements of relevant domestic and foreign fundamentals for choosing suitable currency for denomination of foreign debt. The selection of explanatory variables for exchange rate volatility is motivated using a New Keynesian Policy model. The model predicts that not only traditional optimal currency area variables, but also variables considered by the literature on currency preferences, such as money velocity, should be relevant for explaining exchange rate volatility. The findings show that measures of inflation synchronization, money velocity synchronization, and interest rate synchronization can be useful indicators for decisions on the currency denomination of foreign debt.