Impact of Rising Rice Prices and Policy Responses in Mali : Simulations with a Dynamic CGE Model

• Tác giả: Kofi Nouve
• Ngôn ngữ: eng
• Ký hiệu phân loại: 966.2 *Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger
• Thông tin xuất bản: World Bank, Washington, DC, 2012
• Bộ sưu tập: Tài liệu truy cập mở
• ID: 300100
• Chủ đề: 1. AGGREGATE DEMAND; 2. AGRARIAN ECONOMY; 3. AGRICULTURAL ACTIVITIES; 4. AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS; 5. AGRICULTURAL HOUSEHOLDS

Tóm tắt

The increase in the international price of rice is likely to have substantial negative impacts on the poor in countries such as Mali which are net importers of rice. This paper relies on a dynamic CGE model to estimate the likely impact of the recent increase in rice prices on poverty with and without policy responses. Two sets of policy responses are considered: import tax cuts on rice and measures to increase productivity of domestic rice production. The results suggest that an increase in productivity would have a much larger positive impact than a reduction in taxes.