South Africa : Stimulating Economic Growth

• Tác giả: Peter Fallon
• Ngôn ngữ: eng
• Ký hiệu phân loại: 338.9 Economic development and growth
• Thông tin xuất bản: World Bank, Washington, DC, 2012
• Bộ sưu tập: Tài liệu truy cập mở
• ID: 302027
• Chủ đề: 1. ECONOMETRIC MODELS; 2. ECONOMIC GROWTH; 3. EXPORT PROMOTION; 4. PRIVATE INVESTMENTS; 5. PUBLIC INVESTMENTS

Tóm tắt

South Africa has begun a new phase in its history. This article reports on a study examining the challenge of promoting equitable and fiscally sustainable growth, and evaluating alternative paths to growth using an econometric model developed by World Bank staff. The broad conclusion is that there needs to be greater complementarity between stimulating the economy through public investment and reviving private investment if South Africa is to achieve a sustainable growth. The prospects of success will be improved considerably if skills are upgraded and a reorientation towards exports is achieved, accompanied by a restructuring of public expenditure - within fiscally sustainable limits - for targeting the poor. The scenarios examined assume that political stability is achieved and that access to international capital markets improves.