A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research

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Tác giả: Kristie L Ebi

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 304.25 Climatic and weather factors

Thông tin xuất bản: Springer, 2015

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: Tài liệu truy cập mở

ID: 302593

 The scientific community is developing new global, regional, and sectoral scenarios to facilitate interdisciplinary research and assessment to explore the range of possible future climates and related physical changes that could pose risks to human and natural systems
  how these changes could interact with social, economic, and environmental development pathways
  the degree to which mitigation and adaptation policies can avoid and reduce risks
  the costs and benefits of various policy mixes
  and the relationship of future climate change adaptation and mitigation policy responses with sustainable development. This paper provides the background to and process of developing the conceptual framework for these scenarios, as described in the three subsequent papers in this Special Issue (Van Vuuren et al., 2013
  O'Neill et al., 2013
  Kriegler et al., Submitted for publication in this special issue). The paper also discusses research needs to further develop, apply, and revise this framework in an iterative and open-ended process. A key goal of the framework design and its future development is to facilitate the collaboration of climate change researchers from a broad range of perspectives and disciplines to develop policy- and decision-relevant scenarios and explore the challenges and opportunities human and natural systems could face with additional climate change.
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