How Long Will It Take to Lift One Billion People Out of Poverty?

• Tác giả: Martin Ravallion
• Ngôn ngữ: eng
• Ký hiệu phân loại: 330.91 Treatment by areas, regions, places in general
• Thông tin xuất bản: World Bank, Washington, DC, 2013
• Bộ sưu tập: Tài liệu truy cập mở
• ID: 302693
• Chủ đề: 1. ABSOLUTE POVERTY; 2. ABSOLUTE VALUE; 3. ACCESS TO SCHOOLING; 4. AGGREGATE POVERTY; 5. AGGREGATION BIAS

Tóm tắt

Alternative scenarios are considered for reducing by one billion the number of people living below .25 a day. The low-case, "pessimistic," path to that goal would see the developing world outside China returning to its slower pace of growth and poverty reduction of the 1980s and 1990s, though with China maintaining its progress. This path would take another 50 years or more to lift one billion people out of poverty. The more optimistic path would maintain the (impressive) progress against poverty since 2000, which would instead reach the target by around 2025-30. This scenario is consistent with both linear projections of the time series data and non-linear simulations of inequality-neutral growth for the developing world as a whole.