The Surprising Effects of the Great Recession : Losers and Winners in Thailand in 2008-2009

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Tác giả: Jonathan Haughton

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 709.59 Historical, geographic, persons treatment of fine and decorative arts

Thông tin xuất bản: World Bank, Washington, DC, 2014

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: Tài liệu truy cập mở

ID: 303238

 In 2009, buffeted by the great recession, Thai gross domestic product fell by 2.3 percent. Using monthly data from the socio-economic surveys of 2007-2010, this paper finds, after controlling for household variables, that real consumption per capita rose in 2009 relative to 2008 for most groups, including the poor, urban and rural households, men, women, and children. The losers were residents of Bangkok, especially those aged 20-29, and those working in sales and services. During the recession year of 2009, school enrollment rates did not fall, and durable goods purchases actually rose
  households probably reduced their savings, and also benefitted from the lower food prices that prevailed in 2009. A simulation exercise based on the slowdown in growth of gross domestic product would have missed these effects, as would models based solely on readily-available data series. This points to the importance of country-specific policy analysis, rooted in timely local evidence, including household survey data.
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