Global Impacts of the Doha Scenarios on Poverty

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Tác giả: Dominique van der Mensbrugghe

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 261.83 Social problems and services

Thông tin xuất bản: World Bank, Washington, DC, 2012

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: Tài liệu truy cập mở

ID: 307788

The authors illustrate some of the potential consequences of the World Trade Organization's Doha Round of multilateral trade negotiations on incomes and poverty globally. Using the global LINKAGE model to generate changes in domestic and international prices that have a direct impact on factor incomes and consumer prices, they estimate the change in real income at the poverty line that would accompany various reform scenarios. When accompanied by additional information about the elasticity of poverty with respect to income, this provides an estimate of the change in poverty by country. Under most liberalization scenarios considered, unskilled wages rise more than average incomes, but the estimated impact on global poverty is modest, especially if developing countries are unwilling to undertake much reform.
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