The Impact of Weather Shocks on Violent and Property Crimes in Jamaica

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Tác giả: Nicholas A Wright

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 364.2 Causes of crime and delinquency

Thông tin xuất bản: Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank, 2025

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: Tài liệu truy cập mở

ID: 311850

Developing countries face the most significant exposure to the adverse effects of climate change. However, as temperature and rainfall patterns change, we do not understand their impact on these countries and the mitigation strategies that may be needed. In this paper, we utilize administrative panel data to examine the effects of weather shocks on violent and property crimes in Jamaica. We find strong evidence that a one standard-deviation increase in the daily temperature (2◦C) increases violent crime by 3.67 percent due to an increase in the number of murders (3.44 percent), shootings (7.53 percent), and cases of aggravated assault (6 percent). However, our results suggest that temperature changes have no statistical impact on property crime. In addition, we find that a one-standard-deviation increase in rainfall (2 mm) reduces crimes such as shootings (1.53 percent), break-ins (2.27 percent), and larcenies (3.85 percent). Still, it has a minimal impact on other categories of crime.
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