Are Capital Flows Fickle? Increasingly? And Does the Answer Still Depend on Type?

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Tác giả: Barry Eichengreen

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 332.63 Specific forms of investment

Thông tin xuất bản: World Bank, Washington, DC, 2017

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: Tài liệu truy cập mở

ID: 314998

 According to conventional wisdom, capital flows are fickle. Focusing on emerging markets, this paper asks whether this conventional wisdom still holds in the contemporary world. The results show that, despite recent structural and regulatory changes, much of it survives. FDI inflows are more stable than non-FDI inflows. Within non-FDI inflows, portfolio debt and bank-intermediated flows remain the most volatile. While FDI inflows are driven mainly by pull factors, portfolio debt and equity are driven mainly by push factors
  and bank-intermediated flows are driven by a combination of push and pull factors. But capital outflows from emerging markets behave differently. FDI outflows from emerging markets have grown and become significantly more volatile. There is similarly an increase in the volatility of bank-intermediated capital outflows from emerging markets. The findings underscore that outflows from emerging markets, both FDI and bank-related flows, have come to play a growing role and warrant greater attention from analysts and policy makers.
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