MTEFs and Fiscal Performance : Panel Data Evidence

• Tác giả: Francesco Grigoli
• Ngôn ngữ: eng
• Ký hiệu phân loại: 332.46 Monetary policy
• Thông tin xuất bản: World Bank, Washington, DC, 2013
• Bộ sưu tập: Tài liệu truy cập mở
• ID: 319658
• Chủ đề: 1. ADB; 2. ADVERSE CONSEQUENCES; 3. ANNUAL BUDGET; 4. ANNUAL BUDGETING; 5. ANNUAL BUDGETS

Tóm tắt

In the last two decades more than 120 countries have adopted a version of a Medium-Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF). These are budget institutions whose rationale it is to enable the central government to make credible multi-year fiscal commitments. This paper analyzes a newly-collected dataset of worldwide MTEF adoptions during 1990-2008. It exploits within-country variation in MTEF adoption in a dynamic panel framework to estimate their impacts. The analysis finds that MTEFs strongly improve fiscal discipline, with more advanced MTEF phases having a larger impact. Higher-phase MTEFs also improve allocative efficiency. Only top-phase MTEFs have a significantly positive effect on technical efficiency.