Prediction of Consumer Credit risk in Vietnamese Commercial Banks

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Tác giả: Bich Ngoc, Nguyen, Thu Ha - Nguyen Thi, Duong - Do Thuy

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại:

Thông tin xuất bản: Journal of Economic and Banking Studies, 2020

Mô tả vật lý: tr.45727

Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 323577

The study seeks to test factors that can influence the credit risk of individual consumer borrowers of commercial banks in Vietnam through the use of discriminant analysis. Age, number of dependents, years in current job and salary are independent variables relating to demographic and ocioeconomic condition of borrowers while loan amount is independent variable relating to characteristic of the loan. The results show that the estimation function is significant at the 1% level and can predict the financial position of the borrower (customer) with an average accuracy of 74.5%. Therefore, in this study, the demographic, socioeconomic and loan related variables can be used to classify individual borrowers of Vietnamese commercial banks into payment group and non-repayment group.
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