Gravity Model-Based Export Potential

• Tác giả: Alen Mulabdic
• Ngôn ngữ: eng
• Ký hiệu phân loại: 338.9 Economic development and growth
• Thông tin xuất bản: World Bank, Washington, DC, 2021
• Bộ sưu tập: Tài liệu truy cập mở
• ID: 324258
• Chủ đề: 1. CHEMICAL INDUSTRY; 2. ELECTRONICS INDUSTRY; 3. EXPORT POTENTIAL; 4. GRAVITY MODEL

Tóm tắt

This paper presents a framework to study countries' export potentials. It uses a gravity model to develop measures of export and trade policy potentials at the aggregate, bilateral, and industry levels. The methodology is applied to the case of Turkey. The analysis finds that Turkey was moderately under-exporting over 2010-17. The United States, China, and Japan are important untapped destination markets, accounting for US9 billion (16-17 percent of total exports) of missing exports. Industry-level results suggest that Turkey has high export potential in the electronics and chemical industries.