Hidden Impact? Ex-Post Evaluation of an Anti-Poverty Program

• Tác giả: Shaohua Chen
• Ngôn ngữ: eng
• Ký hiệu phân loại: 362.57 Measures to prevent, protect against, limit effects of poverty
• Thông tin xuất bản: World Bank, Washington, DC, 2014
• Bộ sưu tập: Tài liệu truy cập mở
• ID: 324904
• Chủ đề: 1. ANTI-POVERTY POLICY; 2. HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS; 3. IMPACT EVALUATION; 4. SOCIAL ANALYSIS; 5. SOCIAL IMPACT

Tóm tắt

By the widely used difference-in-difference method, the Southwest China Poverty Reduction Project had little impact on the proportion of people in beneficiary villages consuming less than a day-despite a public outlay of 00 million. Is that right, or is the true impact being hidden somehow? The authors find that impact estimates are quite sensitive to the choice of outcome indicator, the poverty line, and the matching method. There are larger poverty impacts at lower poverty lines. And there are much larger impacts on incomes than consumptions. Uncertainty about the impact probably made it hard for participants to infer the gain in permanent income, so they saved a high proportion of the short-term gain.