Synthesis of the Impacts of Covid-19 on India's Labor Market

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Tác giả: Yiming He

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 331.1 Labor force and market

Thông tin xuất bản: World Bank, Washington, DC, 2023

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: Tài liệu truy cập mở

ID: 327239

This paper examines the impact of Covid-19 on a host of labor market outcomes in India, using a continuous household survey. Cross-sectional trends of headline indicators like unemployment and labor force participation indicate a quick recovery after the unprecedented shock of the pandemic. However, women, marginalized social groups, and youth were more adversely affected, largely due to the nature of their employment before the pandemic. Next, a fixed-cohort analysis with a difference-in-differences regression framework is used to follow the labor market trajectories of a Covid-affected cohort and a pre-Covid cohort for comparison, over a span of 12-16 months. A story of downward transitions emerges, with movements out of the labor force, into more informal and lower-paid types of work in agriculture and rural areas. Higher education and being located in dense, urban areas partially mediated the adverse shocks of Covid-19. Lastly, India's extensive vaccination campaign had significant positive impacts on employment recovery.
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