Tác động của biến đổi khí hậu đến hoạt động du lịch ngoài trời ở khu vực đồng bằng sông Cửu Long dựa trên chỉ số TCI (Tourism Climate Index)

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Tác giả: Đăng Mậu Nguyễn, Hồng Sơn Nguyễn, Tuấn Thành Nguyễn, Văn Sơn Nguyễn, Thị Thanh Minh Thái

Ngôn ngữ: vie

Ký hiệu phân loại:

Thông tin xuất bản: Tạp chí Khí tượng Thủy văn, 2023

Mô tả vật lý: tr.42-52

Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 340906

Thêm vào giỏ Liên kết toàn văn

Climate plays an important role in every traveler's choice of destination. However, many tourist destinations in the Mekong Delta are closely linked with the natural environment, so the impacts of climate change will greatly affect tourism activities (especially outdoor tourism) in this area. Since then, the article has assessed the climate conditions for tourism in the Mekong Delta through the tourism climate index TCI. This is an experimentally synthesized climate index, assessing the simultaneous influence of climate factors: average maximum temperature (ºC)
average low humidity (%)
average temperature (ºC), average humidity (%)
rainfall, sunshine hours and average wind speed. Compare the calculation results of the period 2001-2020 with the results of 2050 under two scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 in the Mekong Delta with the “Climatic Facilitation Classification for Tourism” according to TCI shows that the climate of the Mekong River Delta will change in the future, from year-round favorable for tourism activities, but in the future with the impact of climate change, tourism activities The calendar was not as good as it is now. In the period 2001-2020, the TCI of the Mekong Delta achieved an average level of favorableness at the 5th level, which was relatively good, in the future the TCI has decreased a lot and there have been months with the level of tourism convenience at level 3 is not good, only the dry season months from December to April in the future are still suitable for tourism activities.Khí hậu đóng vai trò quan trọng trong việc lựa chọn địa điểm du lịch của mọi du khách. Tuy nhiên, nhiều điểm du lịch ở Đồng bằng sông Cửu Long được liên kết chặt chẽ với môi trường tự nhiên, nên những tác động của biến đổi khí hậu sẽ ảnh hưởng rất lớn đến hoạt động du lịch (đặc biệt là du lịch ngoài trời) ở khu vực này. Từ đó bài báo đã tiến hành đánh giá điều kiện khí hậu đối với du lịch Đồng bằng sông Cửu Long thông qua chỉ số khí hậu du lịch TCI - Tourism Climate Index. Đây là chỉ số khí hậu tổng hợp thực nghiệm, đánh giá ảnh hưởng đồng thời của các yếu tố khí hậu: nhiệt độ tối cao trung bình (ºC)
độ ẩm tối thấp trung bình (%)
nhiệt độ trung bình (ºC), độ ẩm trung bình (%)
lượng mưa, số giờ nắng và tốc độ gió trung bình. So sánh kết quả tính của giai đoạn 2001-2020 với kết quả năm 2050 theo hai kịch bản RCP 4.5 và RCP 8.5 ở Đồng bằng sông Cửu long với “Phân loại mức độ thuận lợi của khí hậu cho du lịch” theo TCI cho thấy khí hậu Đồng bằng sông Cửu Long có sự thay đổi trong tương lai
từ quanh năm thuận lợi cho hoạt động du lịch nhưng trong tương lai với sự tác động của biến đổi khí hậu thì những hoạt động du lịch đã không còn tốt như hiện tại. Giai đoạn 2001-2020 thì TCI của Đồng bằng sông Cửu Long đạt mức độ thuận lợi trung bình ở phân cấp 5 tương đối tốt, trong tương lai thì TCI đã giảm xuống rất nhiều và đã xuất hiện những tháng với mức độ thuận lợi cho du lịch ở phân cấp 3 là không tốt, chỉ còn những tháng mùa khô từ tháng 12 đến tháng 4 trong tương lai là vẫn còn phù hợp với hoạt động du lịch.

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