Tương tác giữa FDI và kinh tế ngầm đến tăng trưởng kinh tế tại các quốc gia ASEAN

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Tác giả: Thị Mỹ Linh Nguyễn

Ngôn ngữ: Vie

Ký hiệu phân loại:

Thông tin xuất bản: Nghiên cứu Tài chính - Marketing 2023

Mô tả vật lý: 45305

Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 395276

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Chủ đề

Bài viết đánh giá tác động của đầu tư trực tiếp nước ngoài (FDI), kinh tế ngầm và xem xét sự tương tác của FDI với kinh tế ngầm đến tăng trưởng kinh tế, trên cơ sở thực nghiệm mô hình nghiên cứu tại các nước ASEAN, kết quả nghiên cứu là cơ sở để đề xuất các khuyến nghị thu hút vốn FDI hiệu quả nhằm phát huy thế mạnh của nguồn vốn này trong bối cảnh các nước có tồn tại kinh tế ngầm. Điểm mới của nghiên cứu là có xem xét tác động tương tác của FDI và kinh tế ngầm đến tăng trưởng kinh tế kết hợp đánh giá tác động của các biến kiểm soát như: đô la hóa, tăng trưởng dân số, chi tiêu chính phủ, chất lượng thể chế. Sau khi thực hiện các ước lượng cơ bản Pooled OLS, FEM, REM, tác giả sử dụng phương pháp hồi qui dữ liệu bảng GMM với dữ liệu thứ cấp giai đoạn 2002-2019, giai đoạn kinh tế ổn định trước khi xuất hiện Covid-19, được thu thập từ tổ chức Ngân hàng Thế giới, Quỹ Tiền tệ Quốc tế, Tổng cục thống kê, Bộ Tài chính,... Kết quả nghiên cứu khẳng định chiều tác động của FDI, kinh tế ngầm và tương tác của chúng đến tăng trưởng kinh tế cũng như các yếu tố vĩ mô khác. Cuối cùng, nghiên cứu đề xuất các khuyến nghị chính sách nhằm phát huy hơn nữa những lợi ích của FDI đối với tăng trưởng kinh tế, đặc biệt là trong điều kiện các quốc gia có tồn tại nền kinh tế ngầm., Tóm tắt tiếng anh, The paper assesses the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI), shadow economy and examines the impact of FDI with shadow economy on economic growth on the empirical basis of the research model in ASEAN countries. The research results are the foundation for proposing recommendations on attracting foreign direct investment capital effectively and utilize its strengths in the setting of countries with shadow economies. The new point of the study is that it examines the interactive effect of FDI and shadow economy on economic growth in combination with assessing the impact of control variables such as dollarization, population growth, government expenditure, and institutional quality. After making basic estimates of Pooled OLS, FEM, and REM, the author use the GMM panel data regression method for the secondary data over the period 2002- 2019, the period of economic stability before Covid-19, collected from the World Bank, International Monetary Fund, General Statistics Office, and Ministry of Finance, etc. The research results confirm the impact of FDI, shadow economy and their interaction on economic growth as well as other macro factors. Finally, the study proposes additional solutions and policy adjustments to further promote the benefits of FDI for economic growth, especially benefits of FDI for economic growth, especially for countries who poses shadow economy.

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