Hiệu quả đầu tư vườn thanh long ở huyện Mang Thít, tỉnh Vĩnh Long

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Tác giả: Cảnh Dũng Lê, Thị Thân Trần

Ngôn ngữ: Vie

Ký hiệu phân loại: 330 Economics

Thông tin xuất bản: Tạp chí Khoa học Đại học Cần Thơ, 2020

Mô tả vật lý: 280-288

Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 405212

Thêm vào giỏ Liên kết toàn văn

Nghiên cứu này nhằm đánh giá hiệu quả đầu tư vườn thanh long ở huyện Mang Thít, tỉnh Vĩnh Long, được thực hiện bằng phỏng vấn 86 hộ trồng thanh long bằng phiếu câu hỏi cấu trúc. Các chỉ số đánh giá hiệu quả đầu tư gồm giá trị hiện tại ròng, nội suất sinh lợi, tỉ suất hiệu quả đồng vốn và thời gian hoàn vốn. Phân tích được được thực hiện trên 3 kịch bản:1 kịch bản nền với giá thực tế và 2 kịch bản giả định về giá giảm 30% và 50% so với giá thực tế. Kết quả cho thấy trồng thanh long cần vốn đầu tư lớn nhưng lợi nhuận mang lại cũng rất cao, theo đó giá trị hiện tại ròng trung bình của nhà vườn đạt 192 triệu đồng/ha/năm đến 1,2 tỉ đồng/ha/năm tùy theo tuổi vườn, đồng thời nhà vườn chỉ cần 2 năm để hoàn vốn đầu tư. Tuy nhiên, giá giảm 30% và 50% thì hiệu quả đầu tư của vườn giảm sút nghiệm trọng, theo đó hầu hết các vườn mới thành lập không có khả năng hoàn vốn. Để hạn chế rủi ro do về giá, các nhà vườn cần thực hiện liên kết chuỗi giá trị cũng như áp dụng kỹ thuật ra hoa, rải vụ thu hoạch nhằm tránh tình trạng cung vượt cầu trong không gian thị trường nhất định., Tóm tắt tiếng anh, This study is aimed at evaluating financial investment effectiveness of dragon fruit orchard planted in Mang Thit district, Vinh Long province through directly interviews with 86 dragon fruit growers by using structured questionnaires. Indicators used to evaluate the investment effectiveness include total net present benefit (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), benefit cost ratio (BCR) and payback period (PP). The analysis was conducted based on three scenarios: the first is base scenario of actual farmgate price and the other two hypothetical scenarios of decreased farmgate prices by 30% and 50% compared to actual price. The research results showed that dragon fruit cultivation requires large initial investment capital while the profits are also very high, e.g averaged annual net present value ranged from 192 million/ha/year to 1,2 billion/ha/year according to orchard yearold, meanwhile, the orchard owners need 2 years to payback their initial investemnt cost. However, when decreased prices by 30% and 50% compared to base scenario price, the investment effectiveness of the dragon fruit orchards decreases seriously, consequently newly established orchards could not be able to pay back the initial investment cost. In order to minimize risks of decline prices, dragon farmers are advised to pursue value chain linkage as well as apply off-season harvesting techniques for avoiding the surplus of supply over demand within a certain market.

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