Các yếu tố ảnh hưởng tới khả năng di cư việc làm của hộ gia đình tại Việt Nam

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Tác giả: Ngọc Nam Nguyễn, Thị Phương Thảo Nguyễn, Thị Thúy Đạt Nguyễn

Ngôn ngữ: Vie

Ký hiệu phân loại: 301 Sociology and anthropology

Thông tin xuất bản: Tạp chí Khoa học Đại học Cần Thơ, 2020

Mô tả vật lý: 238-247

Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 408045

Thêm vào giỏ

Di cư là một yếu tố của quá trình phát triển đặc biệt là tại các nước đang phát triển. Các nghiên cứu đã chỉ ra rằng, lý do chủ yếu dẫn đến hiện tượng di cư là vì kinh tế và loại hình di cư chủ yếu là di cư việc làm. Tại Việt Nam, với quá trình phát triển kinh tế nhanh chóng từ khi đất nước Đổi mới, làn sóng di cư đã tăng lên mạnh mẽ và có nhiều đóng góp cho sự phát triển nhưng đồng thời cũng tạo ra nhiều thách thức cho sự phát triển của xã hội. Bài viết này sử dụng phương pháp hồi quy Logit để ước tính xác suất di cư của hộ thông qua việc sử dụng số liệu mảng (panel data) của bộ dữ liệu Khảo sát mức sống (VHLSS). Mô hình nghiên cứu đề xuất với các biến thuộc về đặc trưng nhân khẩu của chủ hộ và đặc điểm của hộ cũng như tình trạng kinh tế của hộ. Kết quả cho thấy những yếu tố thuộc về đặc trưng nhân khẩu của chủ hộ và của hộ tác động mạnh mẽ tới xu hướng di cư của hộ đặc biệt là yếu tố tiền gửi., Tóm tắt tiếng anh, Migration is a factor of the development process, especially in developing countries. The studies show that the main reason for migration is economics and the main type of migration is work migration. In Vietnam, with the rapid economic development process since Doi Moi period, the wave of migration has dramatically increased and this way not only contributed greatly to the development but also created many challenges for the social development. In this paper, the logit regression method was used to estimate the probability which a household has at least one member migration for work through the use of panel data of the Vietnam Household Living Standards Survey (VHLSS). Variables proposed in the research modelinclude demographic characteristics of the household head and the household characteristics as well as the economic status of the household. The results show that the factors belonging to the household of demographic characteristics as well as the household head have a strong impact on the trend of the household migration, especially the factor of remittance.

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