Using minor variant genomes and machine learning to study the genome biology of SARS-CoV-2 over time.

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Tác giả: Dalan Bailey, Miles W Carroll, Alistair Darby, Xiaofeng Dong, I'ah Donovan-Banfield, Giulia Gallo, Hannah Goldswain, Julian A Hiscox, Tracy MacGill, David A Matthews, Todd Myers, Robert Orr

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 629.13637 Aerospace engineering

Thông tin xuất bản: England : Nucleic acids research , 2025

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: NCBI

ID: 468920

In infected individuals, viruses are present as a population consisting of dominant and minor variant genomes. Most databases contain information on the dominant genome sequence. Since the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 in late 2019, variants have been selected that are more transmissible and capable of partial immune escape. Currently, models for projecting the evolution of SARS-CoV-2 are based on using dominant genome sequences to forecast whether a known mutation will be prevalent in the future. However, novel variants of SARS-CoV-2 (and other viruses) are driven by evolutionary pressure acting on minor variant genomes, which then become dominant and form a potential next wave of infection. In this study, sequencing data from 96 209 patients, sampled over a 3-year period, were used to analyse patterns of minor variant genomes. These data were used to develop unsupervised machine learning clusters to identify amino acids that had a greater potential for mutation than others in the Spike protein. Being able to identify amino acids that may be present in future variants would better inform the design of longer-lived medical countermeasures and allow a risk-based evaluation of viral properties, including assessment of transmissibility and immune escape, thus providing candidates with early warning signals for when a new variant of SARS-CoV-2 emerges.
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