Validation of the CTS5 in four prospective, multicenter, randomized ABCSG trials.

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Tác giả: Marija Balic, Daniel Egle, Christian Fesl, Martin Filipits, Florian Fitzal, Simon Peter Gampenrieder, Michael Gnant, Richard Greil, Stefan Halper, Ruth Helfgott, Dominik Hlauschek, Raimund Jakesz, Georg Pfeiler, Christian F Singer, Lidija Sölkner, Günther Steger, Christoph Suppan, Kerstin Wimmer

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại:

Thông tin xuất bản: Netherlands : Breast (Edinburgh, Scotland) , 2025

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: NCBI

ID: 551668

BACKGROUND: The Clinical Treatment Score post-5 years (CTS5) is a clinicopathological tool designed to estimate late distant recurrence (LDR) in hormone receptor-positive (HR+) breast cancer patients after 5 years of adjuvant endocrine therapy (ET). While intended as a prognostic algorithm, its predictive value for ET extension remains uncertain. METHODS: The score was calculated in 4931 patients from four prospective randomized ABCSG trials (ABCSG-6, -6a, -8, and -16) with 250 LDR events. We assessed its prognostic power, calibration accuracy, and predictive value. Time to LDR was analyzed using Cox regression models. RESULTS: In our cohorts, the CTS5 provided prognostic information whether used as a continuous or categorical score. In the ABCSG-8 cohort (n = 2054) and the combined ABCSG-6+8 cohort (n = 3308), a higher continuous score was significantly associated with increased LDR risk. The categorical CTS5 showed that high-risk patients had significantly higher LDR rates compared to low- or intermediate-risk patients. The score slightly overestimated LDR risk, regardless of predicted risk. Although no significant predictive value was found on the relative scale, an absolute LDR risk reduction of 23.4 % was found in patients with a high CTS5 of 5 when extended ET was administered additional five than two years. In patients with a CTS5 of 2, no benefit was found when ET was extended to 10 instead of 7 years. CONCLUSION: The CTS5 is a valid tool for LDR risk stratification in HR + breast cancer, but should be used cautiously for determining benefits from ET extension, as no significant predictive value was found.
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