Electrocardiographic-Driven artificial intelligence Model: A new approach to predicting One-Year mortality in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction patients.

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Tác giả: Ga In Han, Jong-Hwan Jang, Yong-Yeon Jo, Sora Kang, Kyung-Hee Kim, Joon-Myoung Kwon, Hak Seung Lee, Min Sung Lee, Byung-Hee Oh, Jeong Min Son

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 296.1146 Sources

Thông tin xuất bản: Ireland : International journal of medical informatics , 2025

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: NCBI

ID: 552053

 BACKGROUND: Despite the proliferation of heart failure (HF) mortality prediction models, their practical utility is limited. Addressing this, we utilized a significant dataset to develop and validate a deep learning artificial intelligence (AI) model for predicting one-year mortality in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) patients. The study's focus was to assess the effectiveness of an AI algorithm, trained on an extensive collection of ECG data, in predicting one-year mortality in HFrEF patients. METHODS: We selected HFrEF patients who had high-quality baseline ECGs from two hospital visits between September 2016 and May 2021. A total of 3,894 HFrEF patients (64% male, mean age 64.3, mean ejection fraction 29.8%) were included. Using this ECG data, we developed a deep learning model and evaluated its performance using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). RESULTS: The model, validated against 16,228 independent ECGs from the original cohort, achieved an AUROC of 0.826 (95 % CI, 0.794-0.859). It displayed a high sensitivity of 99.0 %, positive predictive value of 16.6 %, and negative predictive value of 98.4 %. Importantly, the deep learning algorithm emerged as an independent predictor of 1-yr mortality of HFrEF patients with an adjusted hazards ratio of 4.12 (95 % CI 2.32-7.33, p <
  0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The depth and quality of our dataset and our AI-driven ECG analysis model significantly enhance the prediction of one-year mortality in HFrEF patients. This promises a more personalized, future-focused approach in HF patient management.
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