Quan điểm khoa học về sự thoát đáy

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Tác giả: Ngọc Thạch Nguyễn

Ngôn ngữ: vie

Ký hiệu phân loại: 627.5 Reclamation, irrigation, related topics

Thông tin xuất bản: Nghiên cứu Kinh tế, 2014

Mô tả vật lý: 45361

Bộ sưu tập: Metadata

ID: 562363

Recently, the mass media has conveyed positive information about the event "has escaped the bottom" of Vietnam's economy. However, this article reflects the view that the conclusion of "bottom escape" of the economy should be based on comparative a:nalysis of conditions for social - economic development between before and after "bottom", the growth in the key social- economic sectors. Those are manufacturing sector, the total demand for goods and services, particularly, the total social investment, freight flow, society, public finance, in addition, the development prospects of the world economy and the Vietnam's large trade partners. In summary, the analysis of growth in the Vietnam's key socio - economic fields showed, despite only some social indicators had progress in 2008 due to the effects of the economic crisis, most development indicators did not reach the level of this year, the year before the crisis. This proves that Vietnam did not to restore the conditions for social economic development before the world economic crisis occurred. In other words, if the conditions for development did not previously recover, Vietnam's economy did not escape the bottom. Based on sequence analysis of the real output and a number of additional indicators, just enough to be able to recognize that, emerging signs of optimism which proves Vietnam's economy is escaping the bottom and if those signs increase sustainably, economy will escape the bottom in outlook.
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